Forecasts

Nasdaq Orpheus RMIVG20 makes a new high.

Orpheus RMIVG20 models registered a new high with 65% returns since Jan 2015. YTD the model delivered 33% making it to the second best performer till date in the Bloomberg list just behind Istanbul 100.

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Nasdaq Orpheus RMIVG20 up 60%

Nasdaq Orpheus RMIVG20 up 60% since Jan 2015. This was a 37.38% and 17.99% above the Nasdaq composite (NQUSB) and Nasdaq 100 (NDX) respectively.

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Valeant

The Valeant story confirms that human selection systems are poor and risky, can lack ethics and can fool itself into the illusion of wealth. Any review of mistakes is hindsight bias because even the utmost smartness cannot beat the need for risk management. The whole reason why pension funds are embracing baskets and avoiding hedge…

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Amazon's Free Fall

Even if cause and effect works and Jeff Bezos’ clashing with Donald Trump might seem like a reason for the technology giant losing USD 35 billion since the election date, there is a scientific explanation to all this. – Amazon stock price had moved up from USD 300 to USD 675 in 2015. – Since…

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Is Brazil Junk?

2009 news would have seen Brazil in the top news as trading volumes rose to a record in 2009 at Bovespa. At the market high, it’s hard to find caution. Even if one does find that solo voice, it’s hard to act on it owing to the human tendency to herd, resist ongoing momentum. Now in 2016,…

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Will Oil ever recover?

This is not a popular question search engines are asked today. Investors are more interested in knowing if they should sell Chesapeake Energy (CHK) which has already fallen 80% from its peak at near 30 to 3. Should we not have looked at selling the stock at 30 rather than at 3? Of course, that…

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What’s wrong with Transilvania?

There is a lot of news coming out of Transilvania. The top physicist today, Laszlo Barabasi talks about Transilvania in his book ‘Linked’. Transilvania was cited as the Silicon valley of Europe by Financial Times. And Transilvania is also the first home for Tralio. So what is wrong with Transilvania? When Transilvania gets global attention…

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The Adobe Consensus

  According to Reuters, the analysts are in consensus on Adobe. Out of 25 recommendations, 11 are BUYS, 08 are OUTPERFORMS and 06 are HOLDS. This is not the first time opinion is skewed on one side. Now let’s look at Jiseki. The stock was a top relative performer from Sep 2013 with a top…

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Should I buy Facebook?

Search engines are becoming smarter. You can ask them any question. And they will have an answer; many answers. Some of these answers will be opinions, some of them visuals, some of them tables, and some of them might just create confusion. The engines will get smarter in the near future and might just ask…

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Why the force could not wake up Disney?

There was news regarding how the Star Wars failed to wake up the force on Wall Street for Disney. We have a simple answer for that. Even before the release of Star Wars on Dec 18, the Jiseki Ranking was above 80 for Disney. This meant that the force was already with Disney from July…

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The Dollarama Trend

At 6 billion dollar market capitalization, this is not just any discount store. The store sells Cleaning supplies, Toys, Candy, Grocery, Gifts, Healthcare products, Kitchenware, Stationery, Party Supplies, Hardware. The game is sourcing, pricing and distribution. The competency comes from history, size and real estate. And then consumption does the rest. This was our last…

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The Priceless MasterCard

MasterCard was a one way road from 2009 lows. On Jan 30 the stock was 135. Now it’s at 800. This means a return of near 500%. This means more than 100% returns annually. Even if for a moment we accept that it was humanly possible for you to pick up MA there in Jan…

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Babcock up 70%

Babcock was set up in 1891. A Scottish structural engineer Sir William Arrol was the first board member. He was the son of a spinner and started work in a cotton mill at only 9 years of age. He started training as a blacksmith by age 13, and went on to learn mechanics and hydraulics…

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The Spiritual Gold

Divergence There are many reasons for the divergence between what happens to gold in India and worldwide. Gold is always a buy in India compared to the world. No wonder the state considers it a problem, puts restrictions on imports and is concerned on how to address this obsession. If there is something at the top of…

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Selection and Universe

A selection comes before allocation and systems are needed to assist in this selection. Why systems? First, because there are many types of selection; manager, asset, region, risk, profile, strategy, or other constraints like liquidity. Second; systems are better equipped to handle a deluge of information. Regarding universe; selection is made from it. The universe…

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